The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
MARCH 2007 KEY POINTS
Trend
The March 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (87 134) increased by 1.1% when compared with the February 2007 estimate. This was the tenth consecutive positive trend estimate. From March 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.1%.
All of the vehicle types recorded increases for at least seven consecutive months of trend estimates. From February 2007 to March 2007, other vehicle types increased by 1.6%, passenger vehicles by 1.2% and sports utility vehicles by 0.4%.
In March 2007, all states and territories recorded increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles from the previous month. The Australian Capital Territory, Victoria and Queensland recorded the largest increases for the third consecutive month, increasing 2.0%, 1.5% and 1.3% respectively.
Seasonally adjusted
The March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (87 464) increased 1.0% from February 2007. Over the same period, all vehicle types recorded increases, with other vehicles recording the largest increase (1.7%). Passenger vehicles and sports utility vehicles increased 0.8% and 0.7% respectively.
From February 2007 to March 2007, four states or territories recorded increases while four states or territories recorded decreases. The largest increases were recorded in New South Wales and Queensland (both 2.9%). The largest decrease was recorded in Tasmania, dropping 4.4%.
New motor vehicles sales March 2007
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 26 814 | 22 062 | 19 699 | 5 288 | 9 757 | 1 622 | 833 | 1 389 | 87 464 |
Trend | 26 582 | 22 031 | 19 493 | 5 285 | 9 923 | 1 601 | 834 | 1 385 | 87 134 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 2.9 | -0.6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | -2.8 | -4.4 | 0.5 | -0.6 | 1.0 |
Trend | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 10.5 | 11.4 | 13.2 | 8.2 | 11.3 | 2.5 | 7.6 | 16.1 | 11.2 |
Trend | 8.6 | 8.1 | 11.4 | 2.3 | 12.8 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 15.9 | 9.1 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
April 2007 | 22 May 2007 | |
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007 | 20 June 2007
20 July 2007
22 August 2007 | |
August 2007 | 21 September 2007 | |
September 2007 | 19 October 2007 | |
WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES
The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.
1 | The April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | The April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
|
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | January | 43 761 | 13 251 | 12 991 | 70 003 | -8.7 | -11.9 | -20.2 | -11.7 |
| February | 48 483 | 13 506 | 15 457 | 77 446 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 10.6 |
| March | 53 188 | 15 896 | 18 072 | 87 156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 |
| April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 |
| October | 50 532 | 13 921 | 15 477 | 79 930 | -1.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| November | 51 850 | 15 193 | 16 254 | 83 297 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| December | 48 348 | 14 258 | 14 457 | 77 063 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -11.1 | -7.5 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 49 189 | 14 303 | 13 444 | 76 936 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -7.0 | -0.2 |
| February | 52 628 | 14 912 | 16 200 | 83 740 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 20.5 | 8.8 |
| March | 57 757 | 17 589 | 19 046 | 94 392 | 9.7 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 12.7 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | January | 50 597 | 14 512 | 16 830 | 81 939 | 1.2 | -3.4 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| February | 49 717 | 14 033 | 16 540 | 80 290 | -1.7 | -3.3 | -1.7 | -2.0 |
| March | 48 396 | 13 868 | 16 423 | 78 687 | -2.7 | -1.2 | -0.7 | -2.0 |
| April | 49 326 | 13 904 | 16 286 | 79 516 | 1.9 | 0.3 | -0.8 | 1.1 |
| May | 49 473 | 13 931 | 16 306 | 79 710 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| June | 48 852 | 14 379 | 15 578 | 78 809 | -1.3 | 3.2 | -4.5 | -1.1 |
| July | 50 722 | 14 170 | 16 138 | 81 030 | 3.8 | -1.5 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| August | 50 293 | 13 123 | 15 935 | 79 351 | -0.8 | -7.4 | -1.3 | -2.1 |
| September | 51 079 | 14 560 | 15 979 | 81 618 | 1.6 | 11.0 | 0.3 | 2.9 |
| October | 50 387 | 15 060 | 16 347 | 81 794 | -1.4 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| November | 50 275 | 14 860 | 16 102 | 81 237 | -0.2 | -1.3 | -1.5 | -0.7 |
| December | 51 663 | 14 862 | 15 694 | 82 219 | 2.8 | 0.0 | -2.5 | 1.2 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 54 366 | 15 320 | 17 002 | 86 688 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 5.4 |
| February | 53 867 | 15 449 | 17 287 | 86 603 | -0.9 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -0.1 |
| March | 54 324 | 15 561 | 17 579 | 87 464 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | January | 49 788 | 14 294 | 16 689 | 80 771 | -0.5 | -1.2 | -0.4 | -0.6 |
| February | 49 523 | 14 182 | 16 590 | 80 295 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.6 |
| March | 49 308 | 14 095 | 16 455 | 79 858 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| April | 49 219 | 13 999 | 16 274 | 79 492 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| May | 49 330 | 13 916 | 16 104 | 79 350 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| June | 49 620 | 13 922 | 16 013 | 79 555 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 0.3 |
| July | 49 917 | 14 010 | 15 970 | 79 897 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.4 |
| August | 50 182 | 14 149 | 15 950 | 80 281 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 0.5 |
| September | 50 444 | 14 340 | 15 960 | 80 744 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| October | 50 832 | 14 583 | 16 041 | 81 456 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| November | 51 413 | 14 842 | 16 209 | 82 464 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| December | 52 136 | 15 080 | 16 439 | 83 655 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 52 939 | 15 268 | 16 726 | 84 933 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| February | 53 703 | 15 431 | 17 031 | 86 165 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| March | 54 332 | 15 492 | 17 310 | 87 134 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
|
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | January | 21 995 | 17 876 | 15 107 | 4 380 | 7 604 | 1 295 | 616 | 1 130 | 70 003 |
| February | 24 495 | 19 979 | 16 452 | 5 085 | 8 165 | 1 373 | 731 | 1 166 | 77 446 |
| March | 27 165 | 21 461 | 19 833 | 5 195 | 9 750 | 1 540 | 913 | 1 299 | 87 156 |
| April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 |
| October | 24 379 | 20 785 | 16 625 | 4 781 | 9 591 | 1 797 | 762 | 1 210 | 79 930 |
| November | 25 418 | 20 739 | 18 076 | 5 116 | 9 972 | 1 973 | 733 | 1 270 | 83 297 |
| December | 22 927 | 19 790 | 16 551 | 4 700 | 9 471 | 1 748 | 688 | 1 188 | 77 063 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 24 429 | 19 000 | 16 769 | 4 620 | 8 929 | 1 285 | 651 | 1 253 | 76 936 |
| February | 25 636 | 21 510 | 18 221 | 5 138 | 9 625 | 1 463 | 771 | 1 376 | 83 740 |
| March | 29 107 | 23 408 | 21 772 | 5 588 | 10 530 | 1 533 | 978 | 1 476 | 94 392 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | January | 25 246 | 21 027 | 17 933 | 5 293 | 8 789 | 1 601 | 797 | 1 253 | 81 939 |
| February | 25 055 | 20 671 | 17 295 | 5 188 | 8 506 | 1 596 | 789 | 1 190 | 80 290 |
| March | 24 277 | 19 798 | 17 401 | 4 889 | 8 769 | 1 583 | 774 | 1 196 | 78 687 |
| April | 24 061 | 20 472 | 17 356 | 5 299 | 8 885 | 1 499 | 750 | 1 194 | 79 516 |
| May | 23 907 | 20 096 | 17 756 | 5 222 | 9 245 | 1 595 | 739 | 1 150 | 79 710 |
| June | 24 025 | 19 433 | 17 505 | 5 044 | 9 089 | 1 719 | 759 | 1 235 | 78 809 |
| July | 24 241 | 20 442 | 18 285 | 5 124 | 9 500 | 1 524 | 744 | 1 170 | 81 030 |
| August | 23 936 | 20 300 | 17 278 | 4 916 | 9 507 | 1 420 | 797 | 1 197 | 79 351 |
| September | 24 816 | 20 843 | 17 558 | 5 047 | 9 663 | 1 676 | 766 | 1 249 | 81 618 |
| October | 25 130 | 20 520 | 17 878 | 4 908 | 9 647 | 1 671 | 834 | 1 206 | 81 794 |
| November | 24 781 | 19 882 | 18 380 | 4 935 | 9 594 | 1 636 | 762 | 1 267 | 81 237 |
| December | 25 121 | 20 412 | 18 546 | 4 852 | 9 817 | 1 413 | 800 | 1 258 | 82 219 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 26 726 | 21 837 | 19 039 | 5 402 | 9 955 | 1 558 | 836 | 1 335 | 86 688 |
| February | 26 064 | 22 194 | 19 152 | 5 236 | 10 034 | 1 697 | 829 | 1 397 | 86 603 |
| March | 26 814 | 22 062 | 19 699 | 5 288 | 9 757 | 1 622 | 833 | 1 389 | 87 464 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | January | 24 794 | 21 026 | 17 490 | 5 225 | 8 701 | 1 563 | 770 | 1 202 | 80 771 |
| February | 24 674 | 20 707 | 17 461 | 5 193 | 8 723 | 1 568 | 770 | 1 199 | 80 295 |
| March | 24 487 | 20 376 | 17 492 | 5 166 | 8 795 | 1 580 | 767 | 1 195 | 79 858 |
| April | 24 245 | 20 110 | 17 542 | 5 145 | 8 916 | 1 583 | 761 | 1 190 | 79 492 |
| May | 24 050 | 20 004 | 17 578 | 5 125 | 9 074 | 1 576 | 756 | 1 187 | 79 350 |
| June | 24 013 | 20 063 | 17 610 | 5 102 | 9 246 | 1 576 | 756 | 1 189 | 79 555 |
| July | 24 096 | 20 167 | 17 642 | 5 059 | 9 393 | 1 583 | 762 | 1 195 | 79 897 |
| August | 24 282 | 20 237 | 17 690 | 5 004 | 9 504 | 1 587 | 773 | 1 204 | 80 281 |
| September | 24 530 | 20 304 | 17 779 | 4 957 | 9 591 | 1 585 | 783 | 1 215 | 80 744 |
| October | 24 836 | 20 429 | 17 964 | 4 952 | 9 668 | 1 581 | 792 | 1 234 | 81 456 |
| November | 25 192 | 20 648 | 18 248 | 4 996 | 9 739 | 1 580 | 801 | 1 260 | 82 464 |
| December | 25 574 | 20 945 | 18 587 | 5 063 | 9 801 | 1 584 | 808 | 1 293 | 83 655 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 25 955 | 21 315 | 18 930 | 5 143 | 9 856 | 1 589 | 818 | 1 327 | 84 933 |
| February | 26 312 | 21 701 | 19 248 | 5 223 | 9 900 | 1 598 | 825 | 1 358 | 86 165 |
| March | 26 582 | 22 031 | 19 493 | 5 285 | 9 923 | 1 601 | 834 | 1 385 | 87 134 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. |